Our Cosmic Choice

Humanity is at a Crossroads

Hinge of History Podcasts

by Joe Carvin

Our view is clear: humanity is at a crossroads, and the decisions we make in the next five to ten years may shape the future of our species.

As philosopher Derek Parfit observed, we have gained unprecedented scientific and technological power faster than we have developed the political and moral wisdom to guide it. Today, advances in AI have dramatically accelerated this timeline.

If we are to navigate this decisive moment successfully, we must act now to ensure that technological progress remains aligned with human values.

Our Podcasts

Our Oppenehimer Moment

AGI is Arriving Sooner Than You Think

Living in the Foothills of the Singularity

The Pause Heard Around the World

Understanding Exponential Change

Living at the Hinge of History

Our First Online Book

The Great Transition

You can access the full book here:

Podcast of the Book

Or listen to this 15 minute:

Perhaps the best way to understand our thinking relative to the future, as it relates to our podcast and our first online book, is to read these Two Letters from the Future.

The overarching goal of our online book is to help our readers develop what Leopold Aschenbrenne called situational awareness” relative to the dramatic advances in AI technology so that we can work together to maximize the chances of a smooth transition to Super Abundance:   Situational Awareness June 2026

Creating Global and Local Awareness

To that end, we have created projects and activities intended to bring situational awareness to the general public, both on a global level and at the local level

The Great Transition Challenge

While the futurists paint a rosy picture of the future, they do not tell us how we transition from 193 competing nation-states armed ot the teeth and informed by a zero-sum scarcity mindset to the world of abundance they predict. This challenge seeks to generate a conversation on the future of humanity with participants designing roadmaps of how we get from here to there.

Communities 2050

We want to be clear, we are NOT advocating for the Supersonic Tech Tsunami hurdling our way. We view ourselves as someone predicting the weather and believe it woud be unconscionable to see the Tsunami over the horizon as clearly as we do and say nothing. In our view, we will need to radically transform the way we govern, educate, and do business across every community on the planet. Those communities that learn to surf the Tsunami will have the potential to flourish and those that don't risk being left behind.

The Case for Sustainable Super Abundance

The conclusion we reach in our book is that Sustainable Super Abundance is technologically achievable.   We definite Sustainable Super Abundance as a post-scarcity, solved world of universal high income where we will have eliminated poverty, hunger, disease, and the need to work.

However, you don’t have to take our word for it, please listen to the leading futurists building this future.

Google DeepMind Founder Demis Hassabis explains that with ongoing breakthroughs like the one he did at AlphaFold and the ones he is creating now at Isomorophic labs, we can bring an end to disease in about ten years.

You can read more about AlphFold here:  AlphaFold

In this video Elon Musk explains that AI and Robots will bring an end to poverty making work optional in 10 to 20 years time

AI’s Double-Edged Sword: P Doom

In evaluating AI it is important to understand that the development AI is a double-edged sword in that in addition to creating Sustainable Super Abundance it also had the potential to bring an end to humanity. 

As you will see here, there is a range of opinion from the people in the know. The P Doom range goes from almost certain disaster to no risk at all:   P Doom

The onging evolution of existential risks has led to the creation of a global X Risk system attempting to reduce humanity’s chances of existential risk.   We believe we have created the first global catalogue of humanity’s X-Risk Eco-system which you can find here:

https://oneworlduv.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/05/Annexe-The-X-Risk-Ecosystem-.pdf